Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Fortaleza		Imperatriz de Desportos

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	9	Watch
	1.25	4.75	9.8	Watch
	1.25	5.36	12.06
	1.26	5.22	10.03	Watch
	1.25	4.8	11
	1.3	5.12	9.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.38)	5 ↑ (4.19)	10.27 ↑ (8.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
72.7%

Draw
18.4%

Imperatriz de Desportos
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

22%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

20.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

Imperatriz de Desportos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imperatriz de Desportos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Fortaleza - Imperatriz de Desportos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 36. Guilherme Moura 33. Kaua Rocha 4. Luan Freitas 10. Lucas Crispim (C) 19. Lucas Emanoel 38. Lucca Prior 28. Paulinho 75. Rodriguinho 8. Ronald 37. Ryan	4. Artur Potiguar 21. Bideli 22. Doda Silva 5. Fabricio Bigobel 15. Felipe Macena 18. Fidel 11. Pedro Sena 19. Sabia M. 3. Vinicius 1. Wellington L. 6. Wyldson
Substitutes
21. GB 43. Joao Lucas 99. Kayke 15. Magrao (G) 20. Matheus Rossetto 13. Mauricio Junior 9. Miritello J. B. 77. Paulo Baya 29. Rodrigo 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 11. Vitinho 31. Welliton	17. Anderson Brito 16. David Lopes 20. Ivan 9. Joel Araujo 23. Mateus (G) 25. Palominha 13. Ronny Taperacu 7. Wendel Bahia

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Guilherme Moura 🟨,
31', Artur Potiguar 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Lucas Emanoel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fidel ↓, Ivan ↑,
46', Paulinho ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
46', Guilherme Moura ↓, Mauricio Junior ↑,
49', Ryan ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
61', Joao Ricardo ↓, Vinicius Silvestre ↑,
62', Lucca Prior ↓, Welliton ↑,
69', Doda Silva ↓, Palominha ↑,
69', Bideli ↓, Anderson Brito ↑,
79', Pedro Sena ↓, Wendel Bahia ↑,
82', Sabia M. ↓, Joel Araujo ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Welliton ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Artur Potiguar ⚽,
90+2', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
90+2', Ivan 🟨,

Preview

Fortaleza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Imperatriz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Imperatriz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.

Recently, Imperatriz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fortaleza is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Botafogo SP - Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Manauara - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.03.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW
- Imperatriz de Desportos
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
11.02.26	Tuntum - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuntum	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - IAPE	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.20	Imperatriz de Desportos - Fortaleza	1:2
Copa do Brasil
28.04.16	Fortaleza - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:0
16.03.16	Imperatriz de Desportos - Fortaleza	1:1

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