Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Imperia		Lavagnese

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.15	2.58
	2.72	3.46	2.29	Watch
	2.48	3.28	2.47
	2.7	3.4	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	2.42 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imperia
35%

Draw
27.4%

Lavagnese
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

25.9%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imperia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lavagnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Imperia - Lavagnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Busato G. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Marconi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 1 - 2, Gabelli L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imperia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Imperia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.10.25	Chisola - Imperia	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Imperia - Gozzano	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Valenzana Mado - Imperia	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Imperia - Ligorna	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vado - Imperia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLTL
- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.10.25	Lavagnese - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Derthona - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lavagnese - Saluzzo	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Unione Sanremo - Lavagnese	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Lavagnese - Celle Varazze	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
09.03.25	Imperia - Lavagnese	0:2
02.11.24	Lavagnese - Imperia	0:1
02.02.22	Lavagnese - Imperia	2:2
26.09.21	Imperia - Lavagnese	4:0
20.01.21	Lavagnese - Imperia	2:0

Imperia - Lavagnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide