Match Info

K League 2 - Round 8

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.42	4.4	6.6
	1.42	4.8	7.39
	1.43	4.46	7.15	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.4	4.4	7.11	Watch
	1.42	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4.37 ↓ (4.5)	6.7 ↑ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
65.2%

Draw
21.1%

Cheonan City
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Incheon United - Cheonan City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Incheon (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 23. Park Kyung-sub 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 6. Mun Ji-Hwan 14. Barrow M. 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho	1. Park Ju-Won (C) 24. Lee Sang-myung 15. Kim Won-Sik 4. Kang Y. 13. Kim Seo-jin 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 23. Lee Poong-Beom 20. Ha Jae-min 14. Koo J. 18. Lee Jeong-Hyeop 10. Toungara A.
Substitutes
13. Choi Seung-gu 20. Delbridge H. 21. Hwang Seong-Min (G) 19. Kim Min-Seog 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho	9. Ivelja P. 21. Je J. (G) 26. Kim Y. 8. Lee Kwang-Jin 7. Lee Sang-Jun 3. Lee Woong-Hee 32. Shin Hyung-Min
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Kim Tae-Wan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Mugosa S. ⚽, Kim Myung-Sun (A),
30', 2 - 0, Mugosa S. ⚽, Gerso (A),
41', Lee Sang-myung 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Lee Jeong-Hyeop ↓, Ivelja P. ↑,
56', Ha Jae-min ↓, Lee Kwang-Jin ↑,
64', Kim Myung-Sun ↓, Choi Seung-gu ↑,
72', Mugosa S. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
72', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Min-Seog ↑,
72', Kim Seo-jin ↓, Kim Y. ↑,
72', Koo J. ↓, Lee Sang-Jun ↑,
82', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Lee Dong-Ryul ↑,
82', Gerso ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
87', Lee Poong-Beom ↓, Shin Hyung-Min ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Lee Dong-Ryul ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 14).

Incheon in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cheonan City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Incheon have a series of home games.

In this match Incheon is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Incheon to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Incheon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Incheon United - Pyeongchang United	2:1 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
13.04.25	Incheon United - Cheongju	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hwaseong - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Incheon United - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Incheon United - Chuncheon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Gimpo - Cheonan City	2:1 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
13.04.25	Cheonan City - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Seoul E-Land - Cheonan City	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Cheonan City - Gimpo	0:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Cheonan City - Pocheon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
24.06.15	Cheonan City - Incheon United	0:1

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