Match Info

K League 2 - Round 39

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play


	Incheon United		Cheongju

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.1	9	Watch
	1.34	4.35	8.6
	1.44	4	8.44
	1.52	3.63	7.25	Watch
	1.34	4.1	9.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	4.04 ↑ (3.63)	8.48 ↑ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
66.3%

Draw
22.8%

Cheongju
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

25.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

25.2%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Cheongju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Incheon United - Cheongju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 13. Choi Seung-gu 4. Kim Gun-Hee 15. Lim Hyeong-Jin 32. Lee Ju-Yong (C) 11. Gerso 28. Kim Geon-Ung 88. Jung Won-Jin 14. Barrow M. 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho	18. Jeong Jin-Wook (G) 99. Lee Chang-Hun 24. Heo Seung-Chan 36. Yun Suk-Young 70. Choi Kang-Min 5. Kim Seon-Min (C) 13. Kim Young-whan 25. Choi Sung-Geun 6. Bak Keon-Woo 27. Ji Eon-Hak 21. Song Chang-Seok
Substitutes
20. Delbridge H. 97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 17. Kim Seong-Min 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho	1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 50. Jung Sung-Woo 77. Kim Yun-Hwan 66. Lee Gang-Han 28. Lee Ji-Seung 2. Seo Jae-Won 33. Yeo Bong-Hun
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Kim G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Song Chang-Seok (Pen),
45+3', Lee Ju-Yong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Choi Seung-gu 🟨,
58', Ji Eon-Hak ↓, Seo Jae-Won ↑,
61', Kim Geon-Ung 🟨,
63', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
72', Bak Keon-Woo ↓, Yeo Bong-Hun ↑,
72', Song Chang-Seok ↓, Lee Gang-Han ↑,
72', Choi Sung-Geun ↓, Lee Ji-Seung ↑,
73', Lim Hyeong-Jin ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
87', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Lee Dong-Ryul ↑,
87', Jung Won-Jin ↓, Kim Myung-Sun ↑,
87', Mugosa S. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
90+6', Kim Young-whan ↓, Kim Yun-Hwan ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Incheon is Confirmed as championsnQualified for K League 1

Incheon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cheongju has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cheongju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Incheon is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
08.11.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Incheon United - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Incheon United - Gyeongnam	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ansan Greeners - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWT
- Cheongju FC
South Korean K-League 2
09.11.25	Cheongju - Seoul E-Land	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Suwon Bluewings - Cheongju	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Cheongju - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cheongju - Jeonnam Dragons	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Hwaseong - Cheongju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
24.08.25	Cheongju - Incheon United	0:4
13.04.25	Incheon United - Cheongju	2:1
South Korean Cup
17.04.19	Incheon United - Cheongju	0:1

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