Match Info

K League 2 - Round 32

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.65	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.6
	4.95	3.65	1.62
	5.25	3.95	1.65
	4.68	3.55	1.74	Watch
	5.27	3.66	1.62	Watch
	4.9	3.65	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↓ (5.3)	3.69 ↓ (3.97)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
18.6%

Draw
25%

Incheon United
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23.3%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Hwaseong - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Hwaseong (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hwaseong (votes: 1 - 50%). Incheon (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 17. Lim C. 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 3. Cho Dong-Jae 16. Choi Myung-Hee 6. Choi Jun-Hyeok 99. Demethryus 29. Kim Jun-yeong 41. Kim Byung-Oh 5. Woo J.	1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 3. Lee Sang-Gi 4. Hui Kim G. 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo 88. Jung Won-Jin 14. Barrow M. 99. Park Ho-Min 77. Park Seung-Ho
Substitutes
22. Ahn Ji-Man 7. Arthur 8. Jeon S. 14. Lee Eun-Jae 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 26. Park Chang-Ho 19. Yoo B.	20. Delbridge H. 26. Gang Yun-gu 27. Kim Bo-Sub 19. Kim Min-Seog 17. Kim Seong-Min 25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 8. Shin Jin-Ho
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Park Seung-Ho (Pen),
28', Choi Myung-Hee 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lee Sang-Gi ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
46', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
59', Demethryus ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
65', Woo J. ↓, Arthur ↑,
65', Cho Dong-Jae ↓, Park Chang-Ho ↑,
73', Park Ho-Min ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
76', Gerso ↓, Kim Min-Seog ↑,
78', Choi Jun-Hyeok 🟨,
80', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Yoo B. ↑,
80', Choi Myung-Hee ↓, Ahn Ji-Man ↑,
90+2', Jung Won-Jin ↓, Delbridge H. ↑,
90+4', Kim Bo-Sub 🟨,

Preview

Hwaseong is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Incheon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Incheon is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
28.09.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Cheonan City - Hwaseong	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TTWTW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
28.09.25	Seoul E-Land - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Incheon United - Gimpo	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cheonan City - Incheon United	3:4 ✺
07.09.25	Bucheon - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Incheon United - Chungnam Asan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
21.06.25	Incheon United - Hwaseong	2:0
05.04.25	Hwaseong - Incheon United	0:1

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