Match Info

K League 2 - Round 38

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Gwangyang Football Stadium (Gwangyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play


	Jeonnam Dragons		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.8	Watch
				Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.72
	2.47	3.33	2.95
	3.21	3.54	2.04	Watch
	2.43	3.14	2.63	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.21)	3.3 ↓ (3.54)	2.53 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonnam Dragons
34.9%

Draw
28.2%

Incheon United
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.1%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.8%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonnam Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jeonnam Dragons's performance.

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Incheon United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jeonnam Dragons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Incheon United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lee Jun (G) 3. Kim Ye-Sung 38. Hong Seok-Hyun 77. Choi Han-Sol 4. Ku Hyun-Jun 13. Kim Yong-Hwan 10. Valdivia 16. Alberti J. 24. Park Sang-Jun 9. Ha Nam 50. Lebon K.	97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 3. Lee Sang-Gi 4. Kim Gun-Hee 20. Delbridge H. 26. Gang Yun-gu 30. Seo Dong-Han 7. Kim Do-Hyeok 88. Jung Won-Jin 19. Kim Min-Seog 94. Saijo S. 22. Seong H.
Substitutes
36. Ahn J. M. 1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 95. Choi Jung-Won 20. Jang Sun-Hyuk 11. Jeong Ji-Yong 19. Ronan 6. Yang Ji-Hoon	13. Choi Seung-gu 27. Kim Bo-Sub 17. Kim Seong-Min 15. Lim Hyeong-Jin 1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 99. Park Ho-Min 77. Park Seung-Ho
Coaches
Kim Hyun-seok	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kim Yong-Hwan 🟨,
25', Lebon K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sung H. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
54', Lebon K. ↓, Jeong Ji-Yong ↑,
54', Ha Nam ↓, Ronan ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Valdivia (Pen),
66', Saijo S. ↓, Park Seung-Ho ↑,
66', Kim Min-Seog ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
73', Hong Seok-Hyun ↓, Jang Sun-Hyuk ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Valdivia ⚽,
82', Kim Yong-Hwan ↓, Ahn J. M. ↑,
82', Ku Hyun-Jun ↓, Choi Jung-Won ↑,
84', Jang Sun-Hyuk 🟨,
85', Kim Do-Hyeok ↓, Choi Seung-gu ↑,
85', Seo Dong-Han ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
90+11', 2 - 1, Park Ho-Min ⚽, Kim Bo-Sub (A),

Preview

Incheon is Confirmed as championsnQualified for K League 1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 1.

In recent matches, Jeonnam Dragons has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Incheon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Incheon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeonnam Dragons won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
02.11.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Cheongju - Jeonnam Dragons	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
08.10.25	Gyeongnam - Jeonnam Dragons	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
02.11.25	Incheon United - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Incheon United - Gyeongnam	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ansan Greeners - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United	2:2 ✺
08.10.25	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
05.07.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United	2:1
25.05.25	Incheon United - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0
South Korean K-League 1
01.12.18	Incheon United - Jeonnam Dragons	3:1
22.08.18	Incheon United - Jeonnam Dragons	3:1
28.07.18	Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United	1:3
07.04.18	Incheon United - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2
05.11.17	Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United	2:2

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