Match Info

K League 2 - Round 36

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
				Watch
	1.4	4.35	6.7
	1.43	4.59	6.69
	1.46	4.31	5.94	Watch
	1.42	4.7	6.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	4.54 ↑ (4.31)	6.58 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
65.3%

Draw
20.5%

Gyeongnam
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Incheon United - Gyeongnam Predictions

Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Incheon United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 13. Choi Seung-gu 4. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 88. Jung Won-Jin 14. Barrow M. 77. Park Seung-Ho 9. Mugosa S.	91. Choe Pil-Soo (G) 5. Kim Hyeong-Jin 40. Lee Chan-Dong (C) 2. Park Jae-Hwan 4. Han Yong-Soo 88. Renan Areias 77. Ha-min K. 37. Kim Seon-Ho 29. Park Gi-Hyun 9. Leonardo Kalil 89. Darnlei
Substitutes
20. Delbridge H. 27. Kim Bo-Sub 17. Kim Seong-Min 3. Lee Sang-Gi 1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho	24. Cho Young-Kwang 63. Han Suk-Jong 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 20. Macedo R. 11. Park Min-Seo 33. Park Won-Jae 51. Ryu Won-Woo (G)
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Kim P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gerso ⚽, Park Seung-Ho (A),
45+2', Ha-min K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Mugosa S. ⚽, Lee Myoung-Joo (A),
60', 3 - 0, Barrow M. ⚽,
63', Ha-min K. ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
63', Leonardo Kalil ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
63', Renan Areias ↓, Han Suk-Jong ↑,
75', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
75', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
85', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
85', Gerso ↓, Delbridge H. ↑,
85', Lee Chan-Dong ↓, Kim Hyeong-Won ↑,
88', Mugosa S. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
90+2', Darnlei ↓, Cho Young-Kwang ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 3.

Incheon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gyeongnam's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Incheon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Incheon is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
19.10.25	Ansan Greeners - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United	2:2 ✺
08.10.25	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Hwaseong - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Seoul E-Land - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTWT
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
19.10.25	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	1:0 ✺
08.10.25	Gyeongnam - Jeonnam Dragons	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Gyeongnam - Ansan Greeners	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
20.07.25	Gyeongnam - Incheon United	0:2
22.02.25	Incheon United - Gyeongnam	2:0
South Korean Cup
24.05.23	Incheon United - Gyeongnam	3:0
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.19	Gyeongnam - Incheon United	0:0
30.07.19	Incheon United - Gyeongnam	1:1
22.06.19	Gyeongnam - Incheon United	1:1
09.03.19	Incheon United - Gyeongnam	2:1

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