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Current Win Probability
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 24.8%
Draw 30.6%
Incheon United 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
28.1%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
28.9%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma's form might have worsened.
Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Incheon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 91. Park Kwang-Il 3. Kang Eui-Bin 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 70. Leandro Ribeiro 14. Elionay 33. Park Su-bin 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 9. Ruiz L. (C) 16. Ryu Jun-sun
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 17. Kim Seong-Min 4. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 88. Jung Won-Jin 19. Kim Min-Seog 99. Park Ho-Min 77. Park Seung-Ho
Substitutes
18. Kim Beom-Su 66. Kim Joo-Won 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 30. Park Byeong-gyu 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 74. Samuel Andrade 23. You Ju-An
14. Barrow M. 20. Delbridge H. 26. Gang Yun-gu 7. Kim Do-Hyeok 97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 9. Mugosa S. 8. Shin Jin-Ho
Coaches
Jeon Kyeong-Jun
Yoon Jong-Hwan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Kim Gun-Hee ⚽, Lee Ju-Yong (A),
22', Yang Han-Been 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Park Seung-Ho (Pen),
24', Jung Won-Jin 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Lee Jeong-Bin ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Lee Jeong-Bin ⚽, Park Kwang-Il (A),
58', Kim Jeong-Hwan ↓, Kim Beom-Su ↑,
58', Park Kwang-Il ↓, You Ju-An ↑,
60', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
60', Kim Min-Seog ↓, Barrow M. ↑,
67', Park Ho-Min ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
72', Venicio 🟥,
81', Min Seong-Jun 🟨,
85', Jung Won-Jin ↓, Gang Yun-gu ↑,
85', Gerso ↓, Kim Do-Hyeok ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Kim Beom-Su ⚽, Lee Jeong-Bin (A),
88', Kim Beom-Su 🟨,
90', Park Su-bin ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
90', Elionay ↓, Kim Joo-Won ↑,
90+6', Kim Seong-Min 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Incheon could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Seongnam won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).
South-korea
World
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Yang Han-Been (G) 
Venicio 
Ruiz L. (C) 
Gerso 
Barrow M. 
Delbridge H. 
Mugosa S. 
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