Match Info
Serie D - Round 2Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Independência |
|
Humaitá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.34 |
4.95 |
6.1 |
|
 |
1.4 |
4.9 |
6.86 |
|
 |
1.39 |
4.56 |
6.78 |
 Watch |
 |
1.36 |
4.33 |
6 |
|
 |
1.44 |
4.59 |
6.36 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.43) |
4.67 ↑
(4.17) |
6.42 ↑
(6.06) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independência
66.1% | Draw
19.6% | Humaitá
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Humaitá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-18.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independência that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Humaitá than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Humaitá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Independência - Humaitá Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Pitel ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Biel ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 0, Caique Gomes ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Humaitá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Independência is the clear favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independência won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Independência won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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