Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday


	Independência		Manaus

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.65	3.25	1.88
	3.86	3.37	1.88	Watch
	3.93	3.38	1.82
	3.65	3.25	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.21)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independência
24.8%

Draw
27.6%

Manaus
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.5%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Independência - Manaus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))

Independência is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Manaus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Manaus might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independência won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Independência won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independência FC
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Manaus - Independência	1:0 ✺
27.05.25	Independência - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Trem - Independência	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Humaitá - Independência	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWWW
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Manaus - Independência	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manaus	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Manaus - Manauara	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manaus	3:0 ✺
03.05.25	Águia de Marabá - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Manaus - Independência	1:0
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Independência - Manaus	1:2 penalties

Independência - Manaus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide