Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 7

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
Usa	FuboTV, Paramount+
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.75
	1.58	3.9	5.8	Watch
	1.77	3.46	4.83
	1.61	3.84	5.9	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.8
	1.62	3.78	5.9	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)	3.77 ↑ (3.58)	5.71 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
58.6%

Draw
24.9%

Barracas Central
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Independiente - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (G) 35. Salle S. 29. Fedorco J. 2. Laso J. 15. Perez D. 21. Martinez D. 23. Marcone I. (C) 17. Gonzalez L. 19. Luna A. 9. Avalos G. 24. Lopez S.	25. Moyano S. (G) 4. Velurtas P. 2. Capraro N. 15. Demartini N. 3. Tolosa N. 8. Rosane S. 5. Herrera R. 24. Duarte M. 21. Brochero L. 20. Candia J. 43. Zalazar M.
Substitutes
7. Buffarini J. 32. Canelo A. 16. Hidalgo S. 18. Maestro I. 11. Mancuello F. 20. Marquez De Meneses R. L. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 41. Scafati J. 25. Segovia D. (G) 3. Sporle A. 27. Tarzia D. 10. Toloza S.	48. Aguirre F. 32. Coronel S. 23. Faggioli L. 14. Goni G. 27. Iacobellis M. 6. Insua R. 36. Juarez A. 29. Juarez D. 18. Kruger F. 33. Mater F. 28. Miloc D. 30. Mino M. (G)
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Orfila A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Brochero L. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
11', Fedorco J. 🟨,
16', Velurtas P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
62', Herrera R. 🟨,
62', Lopez S. 🟨,
62', Moyano S. 🟨,
70', Candia J. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
70', Juarez D. ↓, Iacobellis M. ↑,
70', Luna A. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
79', Duarte M. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
79', Zalazar M. ↓, Juarez A. ↑,
79', Lopez S. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
79', Avalos G. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 20 and 25).

Recent matches Independiente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barracas Central is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Independiente is a favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: Gimenez M. (Injury) Toloza S. (Injury)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Puig M. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.07.24	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.24	Independiente - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.24	Independiente - Banfield	2:1 ✺
03.06.24	Defensa y Justicia - Independiente	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTT
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.24	Barracas Central - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.07.24	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Barracas Central	2:1 ✺
04.06.24	Barracas Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2 ✺
27.05.24	Unión Santa Fe - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.03.24	Barracas Central - Independiente	2:2
18.10.23	Independiente - Barracas Central	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.23	Barracas Central - Independiente	1:1
12.10.22	Independiente - Barracas Central	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.04.22	Barracas Central - Independiente	0:1

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