Match Info
Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 15Date: 17 July 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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Independiente |
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Gimnasia La Plata |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.10 |
3.00 |
2.10 |
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 |
2.75 |
3.10 |
2.30 |
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 |
3.36 |
3.29 |
2.10 |
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3.27 |
3.23 |
2.12 |
Watch |
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3.30 |
3.20 |
2.07 |
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3.27 |
3.16 |
2.09 |
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3.20 |
3.10 |
2.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.75) |
3.15 ↑
(3.1) |
2.13 ↓
(2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independiente
28.6% | Draw
28.8% | Gimnasia La Plata
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.4%)Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Gimnasia La Plata is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Gimnasia La Plata could have a small edge in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Standings
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Independiente W | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
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| 15 | Gimnasia L.P. W | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly Women | | | 06.07.25 | Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente | 2:2 | | Argentinian Primera A Women | | | 11.04.25 | Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata | 0:1 | | 15.09.24 | Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente | 2:0 | | 28.04.24 | Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata | 3:2 | | 03.06.23 | Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata | 0:2 | | 10.09.22 | Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata | 3:1 |
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