Match Info
Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 14Date: 12 July 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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Newells Old Boys |
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Independiente |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.25 |
2.85 |
3.00 |
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2.4 |
2.78 |
3 |
Watch |
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2.48 |
2.93 |
3.1 |
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2.46 |
2.9 |
2.98 |
Watch |
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2.35 |
2.8 |
2.75 |
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2.58 |
2.99 |
2.78 |
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2.42 |
2.8 |
3.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.25) |
2.86 ↓
(3) |
2.95
(2.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys
37.5% | Draw
31.7% | Independiente
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Newells Old Boys - Independiente Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Independiente W | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
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| 16 | Newells Old Boys W | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4:24 | -20 | 1 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera A Women | | | 14.09.25 | Independiente - Newells Old Boys | 1:0 | | 08.05.25 | Independiente - Newells Old Boys | 0:3 | | 10.11.24 | Newells Old Boys - Independiente | 1:0 | | 23.06.24 | Independiente - Newells Old Boys | 1:1 |
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