Match Info

Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: River Camp (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	River Plate		Independiente

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.33	6.50
	1.40	4.10	6.40
	1.43	4.38	7.35
	1.4	4.37	6.88	Watch
	1.41	4.3	6.55
	1.37	4.25	7.31
	1.38	4.1	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.26 ↑ (4.1)	6.8 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
65.3%

Draw
21.4%

Independiente
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

16.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

River Plate - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Pereyra M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3.

River Plate has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, River Plate is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	River Plate W	8	4	2	2	12:6	6	14
13	Independiente W	11	3	0	8	13:27	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
28.07.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Belgrano - River Plate	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	River Plate - Social Atlético Televisión	3:0 ✺
08.07.26	River Plate - Banfield	4:1 ✺
04.07.26	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
25.07.26	Independiente - Banfield	0:3 ✺
17.07.26	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	0:1 ✺
09.07.26	Independiente - Racing	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
20.03.26	Independiente - River Plate	0:2
19.05.25	Independiente - River Plate	1:3
01.10.24	Independiente - River Plate	2:1
10.05.24	River Plate - Independiente	3:1
24.11.23	Independiente - River Plate	2:2
06.03.23	Independiente - River Plate	1:0
03.09.22	River Plate - Independiente	4:0

River Plate - Independiente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide