Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Independiente		San Francisco

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.65	3.1
	2.3	3	2.95
	2.19	2.8	3.35
	2.77	2.61	3.05
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.52	2.94	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.42)	2.8 ↓ (2.88)	3.05 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
37.4%

Draw
32.6%

San Francisco
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

22.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Francisco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente - San Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

San Francisco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Independiente won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Copa Sudamericana
17.12.20	Independiente - Lanús	1:3 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.12.20	Independiente - Potros del Este	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.12.20	Huracán - Independiente	3:2 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
13.12.20	Potros del Este - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.12.20	Lanús - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWT
- San Francisco FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
17.12.20	Tauro - San Francisco	2:2 ✺
14.12.20	San Francisco - Tauro	2:0 ✺
11.12.20	San Francisco - Plaza Amador	1:0 ✺
07.12.20	San Francisco - Potros del Este	0:0 ✺
04.12.20	Tauro - San Francisco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
01.12.20	San Francisco - Independiente	1:1
19.02.20	Independiente - San Francisco	1:1
18.10.19	San Francisco - Independiente	2:1
16.08.19	Independiente - San Francisco	0:1
01.06.19	San Francisco - Independiente	1:2 penalties
24.03.19	Independiente - San Francisco	2:2
01.02.19	San Francisco - Independiente	0:1

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