Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez (La Chorrera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Independiente de la Chorrera		San Francisco

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.42	3.06	2.96
	2.4	3.27	2.88	Watch
	2.38	2.8	2.88
	2.34	3.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.58)	3.1 (3.1)	2.88 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente de la Chorrera
38.4%

Draw
29.7%

San Francisco
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Independiente de la Chorrera - San Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez A. (G) 10. Aguila R. 5. Angulo Garces K. J. 28. Bonilla K. 25. Contreras D. 4. Hormechea C. 21. Modelo J. 27. Morales A. 19. Petit D. 8. Ramirez Y. 15. Vasquez Y.	12. Frias J. (G) 17. Benitez G. 8. Carrasquilla E. 9. Dinolis R. 62. Galvan K. 5. Gargonia J. 26. Ortiz L. 10. Pinzon D. 96. Popoff A. 11. Rivera J. 27. Simmons V.
Substitutes
18. Ambuila L. 13. Arboleda J. 26. Berrocal O. 7. Caicedo A. 52. Cifuentes A. 6. Fields L. 83. Leon G. (G) 17. Rivas R. 20. Rivera O. 23. Yau M.	1. Cruz X. (G) 16. Garibaldo Rangel M. A. 38. Lashley W. 6. Rangel E. 4. Rivas J. 20. Rodriguez E. 2. Rodriguez R. 15. Triana L. 21. Walters B. 75. Wood J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Galvan K. 🟨,
29', Pinzon D. 🟨,
41', Angulo Garces K. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Dinolis R. 🟥,
54', Rivera J. 🟨,
56', Rivera J. ↓, Walters B. ↑,
62', Petit D. 🟨,
65', Hormechea C. 🟨,
69', Vasquez Y. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
75', Morales A. 🟨,
79', Petit D. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
84', Aguila R. 🟨,
87', Morales A. ↓, Arboleda J. ↑,
88', Ramirez Y. ↓, Fields L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.

Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Francisco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

San Francisco - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente de la Chorrera
Liga Panamena de Futbol
05.04.26	Union Cocle - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Árabe Unido - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Plaza Amador	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT
- San Francisco FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
04.04.26	San Francisco - Veraguas	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	San Francisco - Tauro	1:4 ✺
13.03.26	San Francisco - Árabe Unido	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Plaza Amador - San Francisco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
06.02.26	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:3
31.10.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - San Francisco	0:0
01.08.25	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	3:2
25.04.25	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1
25.01.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - San Francisco	1:0
18.10.24	Independiente de la Chorrera - San Francisco	1:0
26.07.24	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:2

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