The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente 46%
Draw 31.3%
San Lorenzo 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
31.1%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
31.9%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
77.8%
0%
Independiente - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (G) 29. Godoy L. 13. Fedorco J. 35. Arrayago J. 22. Zabala F. 16. Perez Curci M. 23. Marcone I. (C) 8. Millan L. 7. Montiel S. 6. Avila C. 19. Abaldo M.
25. Devecchi J. (G) 2. Arboleda D. 16. Corujo G. 19. Amor E. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 8. Insaurralde M. 5. Perruzzi I. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 38. Farias F. 9. Cuello A. 29. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
4. Arias S. 2. Calderon F. 20. Cruz F. 32. Martinez D. 39. Martino R. 77. Mele S. (G) 14. Meza M. 9. Morales I. 24. Palais J. 30. Parmo T. 34. Tempone F.
20. Altamirano F. (G) 30. Arias N. 35. Cordoba A. 6. De Ritis M. 10. Gulli F. 32. Herrera E. 14. Ladstatter A. 42. Lorenzon F. 39. Ojeda U. 13. Rattalino J. 11. Reali M. 44. Salas E.
Coaches
Viera J.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Arrayago J. ⚽, Montiel S. (A),
26', Marcone I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perruzzi I. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
46', Rodriguez Pagano T. ↓, De Ritis M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Farias F. ⚽, Arboleda D. (A),
65', Montiel S. 🟨,
72', Abaldo M. ↓, Palais J. ↑,
72', Cuello A. ↓, Salas E. ↑,
72', Meza M. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
80', Insaurralde M. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,
80', Avila C. ↓, Tempone F. ↑,
80', Marcone I. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
86', Corujo G. 🟨,
88', Perez Curci M. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
90+3', Herrera E. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Independiente: Arias S.
(Inactive)
De Irastorza J.
(Inactive)
Valdez S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Abrego G.
(Inactive)
Alvarez J.
(Inactive)
Barrios N.
(Inactive)
Blanco N.
(Inactive)
Cerutti E.
(Knee Injury)
Herazo D.
(Inactive)
Hernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Rio M.
(Inactive)
del Prete G.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.5:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.57%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Croatia
Mexico
North-macedonia
Peru
Serbia
South-america
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Rey R. (G) 
Millan L. 
Abaldo M. 
Arboleda D. 
Amor E. 
Viera J. 
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