Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Laola1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.25	5.75	Watch
	1.80	3.40	4.50
	1.76	3.40	4.90	Watch
	1.83	3.40	5.19
	1.75	3.46	5.17	Watch
	1.81	3.30	5.10
	1.82	3.33	5.22	Watch
	1.81	3.30	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.61)	3.36 ↓ (3.78)	5.09 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
53.1%

Draw
28.3%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

27%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (G) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 35. Arrayago J. 22. Zabala F. 14. Millan L. 23. Marcone I. (C) 7. Montiel S. 28. Gutierrez M. 34. Tempone F. 24. Palais J.	23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 3. Recalde M. 28. O'Connor T. 21. Antonini F. 26. Lencioni F. 30. Fernandez E. 7. Cingolani L. 9. Modica A.
Substitutes
19. Abaldo M. 6. Avila C. 10. Cabral L. 2. Calderon F. 20. Cruz F. 13. Fedorco J. 32. Martinez D. 39. Martino R. 77. Mele S. (G) 8. Meza M. 16. Perez Curci M. 40. Velardez J.	33. Andrada B. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 36. Cortez I. 16. Guiffrey G. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 11. Rodriguez S. 17. Sabatini I. 15. Sanchez U. 35. Simoni V. 8. Vargas M.
Coaches
Viera J.	Franco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Cingolani L. 🟨,
38', Godoy L. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Fernandez E. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Lencioni F. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
59', Palais J. ↓, Abaldo M. ↑,
59', Gutierrez M. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Lencioni F. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
63', Cingolani L. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
63', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrada B. ↑,
65', Modica A. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
77', Millan L. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
77', Godoy L. ↓, Fedorco J. ↑,
79', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
79', O'Connor T. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
87', Zabala F. ↓, Martino R. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Independiente has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimnasia Mendoza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: De Irastorza J. (Inactive) Valdez S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales (Injury) Romano N. (Inactive) Saavedra F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.26	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Lanús - Independiente	1:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.08.26	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Independiente - Platense	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:3 ✺
17.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:1
Copa Argentina
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:2

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