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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes La Plata 46.9%
Draw 30%
San Lorenzo 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.4%
29.7%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
29.7%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
45.5%
0%
Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 25.1% – 83.9%.
1. Iacovich F. (G) 24. Palacios T. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 5. Rojo M. 13. Benedetti G. 7. Sosa J. (C) 52. Kociubinski B. 34. Monsalve M. 32. Correa J. 18. Cetre E. 27. Alario L.
25. Devecchi J. (C) 2. Arboleda D. 19. Amor E. 16. Corujo G. 14. Ladstatter A. 32. Herrera E. 24. Tripichio N. 10. Gulli F. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 38. Farias F. 29. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 15. Arzamendia S. 12. Borzone R. (G) 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. 19. Gaich A. 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 10. Palacios T. 29. Perez Fabricio 21. Piovi L. 31. Rodriguez B.
62. Alassia G. 20. Altamirano F. (G) 30. Arias N. 34. Atrio M. 35. Cordoba A. 21. del Prete G. 6. De Ritis M. 8. Insaurralde M. 42. Lorenzon F. 39. Ojeda U. 27. Rio M. 44. Salas E.
Coaches
Medina A.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Devecchi J. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Cetre E. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Benedetti G. 🟨,
32', Monsalve M. 🟨,
36', Corujo G. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Corujo G. ⚽, Ladstatter A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Ladstatter A. ↓, Salas E. ↑,
60', Correa J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
60', Palacios T. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
61', Sosa J. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
72', Monsalve M. ↓, Carrillo G. ↑,
75', Kociubinski B. 🟨,
77', Carrillo G. 🟨,
80', Alario L. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
81', Farias F. ↓, Rio M. ↑,
83', Rio M. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
87', Auzmendi R. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Gulli F. ⚽, Salas E. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
San Lorenzo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Estudiantes holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Estudiantes: Elias J.
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel Neves
(Arm Injury)
Meza E.
(Inactive)
Pierani V.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for San Lorenzo: Abrego G.
(Muscle Injury)
Alvarez J.
(Inactive)
Arias N.
(Inactive)
Barrios N.
(Knee Injury)
Blanco N.
(Inactive)
Cardillo M.
(Inactive)
Cerutti E.
(Knee Injury)
Cuello A.
(Yellow Cards)
Hernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Perruzzi I.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for San Lorenzo: Corujo G.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:26 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Estudiantes against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.3 per game).
Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now
San Lorenzo: 2% Estudiantes L.P.: 0.56%
Last Results with these Odds
Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.35%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Croatia
Germany
Italy
Kosovo
Serbia
South America
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Venezuela
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