Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 5

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV


	Estudiantes La Plata		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	4	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.2	2.96	4.13
	2.13	3.05	3.84
	2.16	2.95	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.36)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	3.89 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
43.8%

Draw
31.8%

San Lorenzo
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	46.7%	13.3%

Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 6 - 40%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Andujar M. (C) 4. Nunez S. 32. Fernandez F. 30. Rodriguez J. 14. Mancuso E. 19. Castillo Manyoma A. 7. Sosa J. 5. Ascacibar S. 13. Benedetti G. 10. Rollheiser B. 16. Mendez M.	13. Batalla A. (C) 6. Sanchez C. 35. Lujan G. 23. Hernandez G. 47. Giay A. 5. Elias J. 8. Maroni G. 21. Braida M. 11. Bareiro A. 18. Girotti F. 10. Barrios N.
Substitutes
47. Altamirano J. 40. Atum A. 35. Fernandez N. 29. Godoy L. 20. Godoy M. 18. Guasone J. 42. Moreno M. 6. Munoz E. 22. Palavecino N. 11. Veron D. 25. Zozaya J. (G) 8. Zuqui F.	1. Altamirano F. (G) 37. Baez E. 9. Blandi N. 55. Goyeneche J. 44. Hernandez M. 19. Insaurralde M. 17. Irala E. 24. James J. 41. Leguizamon I. 49. Perea D. 50. Perruzzi F. 20. Ramirez G.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Insua R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 1.

Estudiantes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Lorenzo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Estudiantes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Piatti P. (Injury) Pineiro G. (Injury) Romero Z. (Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Cerutti E. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.09.23	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.09.23	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.09.23	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.08.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians	1:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.08.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLL
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.09.23	San Lorenzo - Racing	1:1 ✺
04.09.23	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.08.23	San Lorenzo - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.08.23	San Lorenzo - Belgrano	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Lanús - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	1:1
07.08.22	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0
Club Friendly
26.01.22	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.08.21	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.03.21	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:2
30.11.20	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:0
07.11.20	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0

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