Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday


	Independiente		Sporting San Miguelito

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.65
	2.4	2.8	2.9
	2.21	2.72	3.24
	2.36	2.83	3.55
	2.5	3.2	2.62
	2.23	3.02	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	3.04 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
38.6%

Draw
31.2%

Sporting San Miguelito
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

20.4%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting San Miguelito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting San Miguelito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente - Sporting San Miguelito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Liga Panamena de Futbol
03.03.20	Plaza Amador - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.20	Huracán - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
29.02.20	Deportivo Universitario - Independiente	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.02.20	Fortaleza - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.20	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
03.03.20	Sporting San Miguelito - Deportivo Universitario	0:0 ✺
28.02.20	San Francisco - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
20.02.20	Plaza Amador - Sporting San Miguelito	2:0 ✺
15.02.20	Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Atlético Chiriquí - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.11.19	Sporting San Miguelito - Independiente	1:0
21.09.19	Independiente - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1
02.05.19	Independiente - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1
09.04.19	Sporting San Miguelito - Independiente	1:0
29.09.18	Independiente - Sporting San Miguelito	1:1
04.08.18	Sporting San Miguelito - Independiente	1:1
22.02.18	Independiente - Sporting San Miguelito	3:2

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