The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Francisco 37.6%
Draw 30.1%
Sporting San Miguelito 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
31.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
30.7%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Francisco's form might have worsened.
Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting San Miguelito's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Francisco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting San Miguelito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Francisco - Sporting San Miguelito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Frias J. (G) 18. Rodriguez A. 5. Gargonia J. 17. Benitez G. 3. Gondola E. (C) 27. Simmons V. 8. Carrasquilla E. 30. Mosquera A. 10. Pinzon D. 81. Ramirez A. 9. Blackburn R.
12. De Leon M. (G) 29. Alba O. 15. Cedeno A. 4. Galvan K. 27. Tello Valor R. (C) 5. Cooper A. 33. Betancourt J. 10. Jaen Y. 23. Caicedo J. 9. Cox Goods J. C. 11. Henricks A.
Substitutes
47. Brown A. 14. Calderon Kevin 1. Cruz X. (G) 2. Edmund D. 91. Lopez J. 25. Rivera S. 20. Rodriguez E. 7. Samms E. 77. Sinisterra C. 15. Triana L.
30. Castillo O. 20. de Leon R. 6. Giron E. 21. Giron J. 39. Hoyos D. 3. Hurtado K. 1. Mosquera K. (G) 25. Nino R. 7. Stewart A. 17. Valencia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Cooper A. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Tello Valor R. ⚽,
40', Caicedo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gondola E. ↓, Sinisterra C. ↑,
48', Simmons V. 🟨,
62', Galvan K. ↓, Hurtado K. ↑,
66', Mosquera A. 🟨,
70', Cox Goods J. C. ↓, de Leon R. ↑,
70', Henricks A. ↓, Giron J. ↑,
72', Benitez G. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
73', Carrasquilla E. ↓, Calderon Kevin ↑,
80', Calderon Kevin 🟨,
81', Blackburn R. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
82', Tello Valor R. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
82', Jaen Y. ↓, Giron E. ↑,
82', Mosquera A. ↓, Triana L. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Francisco won 3.
San Francisco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, San Miguelito has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, San Francisco has had a series of away games.
San Francisco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Francisco won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Francisco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
Watch
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Frias J. (G) 
Caicedo J. 
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