Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.66	3.4	5.5
	1.7	3.35	5.6
	1.69	3.46	6.11
	1.67	3.47	6.07
	1.65	3.4	5.8
	1.66	3.46	5.93	Watch
	1.7	3.35	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.09)	3.42 ↑ (3)	5.8 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
56.2%

Draw
27.5%

Gimnasia La Plata
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

31.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 3. Sporle A. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. 14. Millan L. 10. Cabral L. 9. Avalos G. 27. Tarzia D.	1. Ingolotti L. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Morales L. (C) 6. Suso G. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 19. Castro L. 5. Fernandez M. 10. De Blasis P. 25. Sosa A. 30. Castillo R. 38. Panaro M.
Substitutes
77. Angulo A. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 8. Galdames P. 34. Gimenez M. 18. Maestro I. 11. Mancuello F. 29. Martinez B. 21. Martinez D. 32. Paredes F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 35. Salle S. 28. Taborda E.	11. Briasco N. 28. Corbalan F. 35. Cortazzo J. 39. Di Biasi F. 20. Giampaoli R. 23. Insfran N. (G) 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 3. Mastrangelo D. 22. Melluso M. 93. Moreno J.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Avalos G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Avalos G. 🟨,
60', Avalos G. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
70', Tarzia D. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,
71', Cabral L. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
72', Panaro M. ↓, Corbalan F. ↑,
72', Sosa A. ↓, Villarreal S. ↑,
79', Castro L. ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
80', Millan L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
80', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Angulo A. ⚽,
84', Villarreal S. 🟥,
87', Galdames P. 🟨,
89', Pintado J. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
89', Fernandez M. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2.

Independiente in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Gimnasia La Plata have a series of guest games.

In this match Independiente is a favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Knee Injury) Montiel S. (Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Gonzalez G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Torres F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gimnasia La Plata: Garayalde N. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Independiente to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Independiente won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:17 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.01.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Independiente	2:5 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.12.24	Boca Juniors - Independiente	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWTW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.01.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.25	Cerro Largo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Gimnasia La Plata	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.12.24	Platense - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.11.24	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.02.24	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
02.09.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.07.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:1
03.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	3:1
11.10.21	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.02.21	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0

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