Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Los Andes II (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Sporting San Miguelito		Alianza Panama

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.45
	1.77	3.07	3.74
	1.94	2.99	4.55	Watch
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.61	3.15	6.13	Watch
	1.78	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.14)	3.11 (3.11)	4.46 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting San Miguelito
50.6%

Draw
29.1%

Alianza Panama
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting San Miguelito's performance.

Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Panama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - San Miguelito (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguelito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Calderon J. (G) 29. Alba O. 19. Avila M. 53. Castillo A. 14. Hall J. 99. Herrera G. 23. Hurtado H. 62. James A. 22. Ramirez S. 27. Tello Valor R. 17. Valencia A.	30. Melgar K. (G) 28. Alvarado J. 77. Chiari G. 15. Galvez A. 7. Guardia H. 2. Landazuri F. 31. Machado A. 16. Mitre R. 34. Palacio I. 18. Perdomo R. 11. Spencer D.
Substitutes
7. Asprilla J. 28. Barria J. 33. Betancourt J. 20. Bethancourt A. 2. Caicedo J. 83. Cedeno D. 31. Cummings H. 6. Heraldez L. 1. Mosquera K. (G) 10. Orelien A.	17. Asprilla J. 10. Berguido R. 5. Campos O. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 13. Mendoza A. 3. Ortega Y. 8. Rangel G. 40. Rodriguez C. 22. Rodriguez M. 19. Vargas D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Hall J. 🟨,
43', Castillo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Galvez A. ↓, Ortega Y. ↑,
55', Palacio I. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
58', Castillo A. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
66', James A. ↓, Barria J. ↑,
66', Hall J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
69', Betancourt J. 🟨,
71', Guardia H. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
79', Perdomo R. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
79', Mitre R. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
84', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Barria J. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90', Valencia A. ↓, Cummings H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 4.

San Miguelito will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, San Miguelito won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Panama - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
07.02.26	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Árabe Unido	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Tauro - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Plaza Amador - Sporting San Miguelito	0:3 ✺
11.11.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTWL
- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
07.02.26	Alianza Panama - Plaza Amador	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Alianza Panama - Tauro	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
19.10.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama	2:1
27.07.25	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1
03.05.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama	2:0
20.02.25	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	1:2
01.11.24	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1
21.07.24	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	0:3
02.05.24	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1

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