Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	Independiente		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.23	3.31	2.94
	2.24	3.34	2.96
	2.32	3.3	2.99
	2.2	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.46)	3.25 ↓ (3.89)	3.02 ↓ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
41.6%

Draw
28.1%

UAI Urquiza
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22.1%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.

UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UAI Urquiza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+24.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Independiente - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). UAI Urquiza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
10.05.24	River Plate - Independiente	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	3:2 ✺
20.04.24	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Independiente - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWTT
- UAI Urquiza Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
13.05.24	UAI Urquiza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Rosario Central - UAI Urquiza	1:0 ✺
29.04.24	UAI Urquiza - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - UAI Urquiza	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	UAI Urquiza - Banfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
02.09.23	UAI Urquiza - Independiente	3:2
28.05.23	UAI Urquiza - Independiente	2:0
29.05.22	Independiente - UAI Urquiza	2:3
01.11.21	UAI Urquiza - Independiente	0:0
27.06.21	Independiente - UAI Urquiza	1:4

Independiente - UAI Urquiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide