Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 16

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Independiente Asuncion		Deportivo Capiatá

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.65	2.70
	2.62	2.78	2.72
	2.76	2.67	2.86
	2.85	2.64	2.95	Watch
	2.7	2.45	2.8
	2.73	2.98	2.73
	2.6	2.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.43)	2.7 ↓ (3.3)	2.78 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
33.7%

Draw
33.6%

Deportivo Capiatá
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Capiatá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 0, Montiel A. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Benitez J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente FBC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40
12	Dep. Capiata	27	6	11	10	31:37	-6	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.07.26	Paraguarí - Independiente Asuncion	3:2 ✺
13.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
07.07.26	Atlético Tembetary - Independiente Asuncion	2:2 ✺
30.06.26	Independiente Asuncion - Benjamín Aceval	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLW
- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.07.26	Tacuary - Deportivo Capiatá	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Atlético Tembetary	1:3 ✺
06.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá	5:2 ✺
06.06.26	12 de Junio - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.04.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Independiente Asuncion	2:2
29.09.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Independiente Asuncion	1:2
23.06.25	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Capiatá	1:2

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