Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 24

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Independiente Asuncion		Encarnación

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	1.98	3.15	3.25
	2.12	3.20	3.10
	2.17	3.28	3.29	Watch
	2.09	3.10	3.05
	2.17	3.43	3.17	Watch
	2.11	3.10	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.15 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
43%

Draw
28.3%

Encarnación
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.6%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente FBC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Sarquis E. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Independiente FBC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Independiente FBC could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente FBC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25:39	-14	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.09.26	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	3 de Noviembre - Independiente Asuncion	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Independiente Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTLTW
- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.09.26	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Encarnación	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Encarnación - Benjamín Aceval	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Encarnación - 12 de Junio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
23.05.26	Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion	2:3
04.07.25	Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion	3:0
28.03.25	Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación	1:0
07.10.24	Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion	2:2
01.07.24	Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación	3:1

Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide