Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente Juniors		Atlético Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.56	3.5	5.4
	1.6	3.75	5.86
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.58	3.68	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	3.62 ↓ (3.66)	5.42 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
57.9%

Draw
25.2%

Atlético Porteño
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58%

25.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

17.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Atlético Porteño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Porteño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Independiente Juniors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Porteño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Independiente Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente Juniors is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.09.21	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	2:1 ✺
15.09.21	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
08.09.21	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
01.09.21	Búhos ULVR - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
24.08.21	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Santo Domingo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTT
- Atlético Porteño
Ecuadorian Serie B
21.09.21	Atlético Porteño - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
15.09.21	Atlético Santo Domingo - Atlético Porteño	2:0 ✺
07.09.21	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
01.09.21	América de Quito - Atlético Porteño	4:1 ✺
25.08.21	Chacaritas - Atlético Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
04.08.21	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	2:1
20.06.21	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Porteño	3:0
13.05.21	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	1:4
01.03.20	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Porteño	0:1
27.10.19	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	1:1
18.08.19	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Porteño	2:3
24.06.19	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	0:0

Independiente Juniors - Atlético Porteño

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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