Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	Cuenca Juniors		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.80	2.75
	2.28	2.80	3.05	Watch
	2.7	3	2.98
	2.66	2.81	2.96	Watch
	2.63	3.15	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.23)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	2.91 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuenca Juniors
36.4%

Draw
31.8%

Independiente Juniors
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuenca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Cuenca Juniors - Independiente Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 🟥,
88', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Cuenca Juniors is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Independiente Jr has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cuenca Juniors has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cuenca Juniors against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ind. Juniors	28	12	11	5	35:23	12	47
5	Cuenca Juniors	29	10	9	10	23:32	-9	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuenca Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.09.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Cuenca Juniors	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Cuenca Juniors - Vinotinto	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLT
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	2:3 ✺
17.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	1:0
10.06.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	4:0
09.04.26	Cuenca Juniors - Independiente Juniors	2:1

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