Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)


	Manta		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.87	2.92	2.62
	2.76	2.83	2.69	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.83	2.7	2.61	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.58 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
32.9%

Draw
31.8%

Independiente Juniors
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

30%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Manta - Independiente Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente Jr: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 0 - 1, Arroyo J. P. ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, Gongora S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Copa
21.07.24	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	1:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.07.24	Vinotinto - Manta	6:2 ✺
11.07.24	Manta - Guayaquil City	2:2 ✺
04.07.24	Manta - 9 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
25.06.24	San Antonio - Manta	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLW
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.07.24	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte	2:0 ✺
20.06.24	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.05.24	Independiente Juniors - Manta	0:1
18.03.24	Manta - Independiente Juniors	1:0
11.10.23	Manta - Independiente Juniors	1:2
22.08.23	Independiente Juniors - Manta	0:0
25.06.23	Manta - Independiente Juniors	2:0
04.05.23	Independiente Juniors - Manta	3:1
28.09.22	Independiente Juniors - Manta	2:2

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