Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Independiente Juniors		El Nacional

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.50	7.25
	1.33	4.3	7.2	Watch
	1.37	4.58	7.75
	1.39	4.53	7.73	Watch
	1.42	4.39	7.32	Watch
	1.33	4.4	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.11)	4.45 ↓ (8)	7.41 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
67.1%

Draw
20.5%

El Nacional
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Juniors's form might have worsened.

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Nacional's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente Juniors - El Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Benalcazar L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Independiente Jr is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )

El Nacional is Serie B (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2.

Independiente Jr is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

El Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Independiente Jr is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ind. Juniors	28	12	11	5	35:23	12	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.08.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
06.08.26	Independiente Juniors - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	2:3 ✺
23.07.26	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWW
- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.08.26	El Nacional - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	El Nacional - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	22 de Julio - El Nacional	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	El Nacional - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
15.07.26	Vinotinto - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
20.03.26	El Nacional - Independiente Juniors	0:1
01.10.22	El Nacional - Independiente Juniors	1:1
23.08.22	Independiente Juniors - El Nacional	4:1
27.07.22	El Nacional - Independiente Juniors	2:1
15.03.22	Independiente Juniors - El Nacional	0:0
13.10.21	Independiente Juniors - El Nacional	1:1
04.07.21	El Nacional - Independiente Juniors	1:0

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