The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Medellín 71.9%
Draw 17.8%
Jaguares de Córdoba 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.3%
20.2%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
19.1%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Ind Medellín (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Medellín will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Chaux E. (G) 30. Palacios H. 4. Mantilla K. 19. Simarra A. 26. Mena Perea E. 6. Moreno D. 21. Martegani A. 34. Klinger K. 8. Quintero J. (C) 20. Montano J. 9. Medina J.
1. Martinez D. (G) 4. Franco J. 6. Lovera J. 29. Henao C. 23. Arcila J. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 17. Lopez D. 21. Bustamante R. 24. Cubides S. 16. Beltran J. 11. Renteria A. (C)
Substitutes
24. Erazo N. 39. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 16. Loboa H. 32. Lucumi C. 31. Moreno D. 14. Perlaza B. 5. Varela J. 11. Yony Gonzalez
19. Cantillo C. 27. Gracia F. 10. Jopito 3. Malagon J. 14. Martinez E. 9. Mejia J. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 8. Rodriguez Urango D. 28. Zuluaga D.
Coaches
Perea L.
Bodhert H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Renteria A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Renteria A. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 1, Martegani A. ⚽, Montano J. (A),
34', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
37', Lovera J. 🟨,
39', Bustamante R. 🟨,
40', Quintero J. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Klinger K. 🟨,
66', Lopez D. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Montano J. ⚽, Yony Gonzalez (A),
74', Klinger K. ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
75', Cubides S. ↓, Rodriguez Urango D. ↑,
75', Beltran J. ↓, Jopito ↑,
75', Arcila J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
80', Montano J. ↓, Erazo N. ↑,
80', Martegani A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
80', Medina J. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
84', Renteria A. ↓, Zuluaga D. ↑,
84', Lovera J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3.
Ind Medellín is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Jaguares de Córdoba have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Jaguares de Córdoba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ind Medellín has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Jaguares de Córdoba has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Ind Medellín holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ind Medellín has recorded 12 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 29:11 (averaging 1.5:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Medellín against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.5 per game).
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Chaux E. (G) 
Martegani A. 
Ichazo S. (G) 
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