Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 9

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)


	Independiente Petroleros		Real Potosí

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.85	Watch
	2.10	3.40	2.80
	1.90	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.88
	2.07	3.67	3.25	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.25
	2.20	3.36	2.88	Watch
	2.12	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.53)	3.47 ↓ (4.22)	3.03 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
43.6%

Draw
26.3%

Real Potosí
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.1%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.

Real Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Potosí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Independiente Petroleros - Real Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Real Potosí will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Potosí: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vera J. (G) 2. Torres S. 5. Palma L. 13. Montenegro L. 34. Mendoza G. 7. Cardozo R. (C) 19. Cristaldo G. 93. Willie 26. Sanchez K. 23. Rivas R. 10. Thomaz	1. Martinez C. (G) 21. Fernandez W. 14. Velasquez E. 4. Villegas K. 16. Chore C. 8. Cardenas I. 6. Thomas J. 3. Anasgo G. 30. Alipaz J. 23. Ali L. 11. Gomez M. (C)
Substitutes
82. Claros D. 9. Gean 39. Grass P. 1. Gutierrez J. (G) 20. Mercado A. 68. Morales D. 27. Navarro D. 6. Rojas D. 38. Taborga Paz K. 14. Urdininea C. 77. Zamora R.	19. Brito A. 10. Castellon V. 12. Condori B. 41. Igor Soares 24. Lino A. 18. Rivas J. 77. Rojas J. 25. Sandy D. (G) 7. Suarez F. 31. Terrazas R. 13. Vargas J. 35. Vedia C.
Coaches
Thiago Leitao	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Ali L. ⚽, Alipaz J. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Willie ⚽, Torres S. (A),
33', Thomaz 🟨,
41', Palma L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Mendoza G. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
59', Cristaldo G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
59', Gomez M. ↓, Castellon V. ↑,
59', Alipaz J. ↓, Vedia C. ↑,
68', Anasgo G. ↓, Igor Soares ↑,
68', Ali L. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
74', Rivas R. ↓, Gean ↑,
78', Cardenas I. ↓, Condori B. ↑,
88', Willie ↓, Claros D. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Rojas J. ⚽, Condori B. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Real Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ind Petroleros has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ind Petroleros is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Real Potosi	20	8	8	4	27:14	13	32
10	Independiente	20	7	4	9	27:35	-8	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.07.26	ABB - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
12.07.26	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Racing - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Independiente Petroleros - Botafogo RJ	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.05.26	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Real Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.07.26	Real Potosí - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5:0 ✺
12.07.26	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
08.07.26	Real Potosí - ABB	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	The Strongest - Real Potosí	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Real Potosí - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
02.12.21	Real Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	0:5
03.08.21	Independiente Petroleros - Real Potosí	2:1

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