Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.64	3.63	6.12
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.65	3.64	5.65	Watch
	1.63	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.51)	3.6 ↓ (4.03)	5.4 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
56.6%

Draw
26.1%

Gimnasia Jujuy
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Abecasis L. 2. Petrasso F. 6. Maidana M. (C) 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Ham E. 5. Romero F. 11. Tonetto D. 7. Ramis V. 9. Arce A. 10. Reali M.	1. Sosa A. (G) 6. Hernandez S. 4. Pellerano H. 2. Cosaro G. (C) 8. Gonzalez E. 5. Soria H. 7. Juarez J. 3. Endrizzi E. 10. Ortigoza I. 11. Tevez J. 9. Chiozza L.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre J. 15. Ascacibar J. 14. Dionisio A. 17. Gonzalez M. 18. Ilarregui F. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Moya S. 16. Ortale M. 20. Perales J.	18. Brandan F. 15. Casasola N. 12. Chiarini J. (G) 14. Cordoba J. 19. Mateo J. 20. Miracco N. 16. Nakache D. 17. Rodriguez G. 13. Yabale G.
Coaches
Berti A.	Vazquez M.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Independiente Rivadavia is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.08.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Racing de Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
15.07.23	Tristán Suárez - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLTW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.04.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3
15.08.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:1
26.09.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
17.05.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1
11.11.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:1
01.04.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1
28.05.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0

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