Match Info

Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.68	3.4
	2.37	2.69	3.9
	2.04	2.88	4.04	Watch
	2.37	2.71	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	2.74 ↓ (2.89)	3.66 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
40.7%

Draw
33.9%

Deportivo Madryn
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Noble M. 5. Soria H. 8. Trasante J. 10. Maidana F. 7. Endrizzi E. 11. Fernandez G. 9. Quintana A.	1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Minissale P. 6. Postel S. 3. Martinez D. 5. Recalde F. 8. Perez B. 10. Solis N. 7. Crego D. 9. Silba L. 11. Rivero G.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 15. Barro L. 16. Camacho S. 19. Casa M. 18. Juarez D. 17. Molina F. 20. Perales J. 13. Sanchez S. 14. Zapatiel N.	20. Ayala E. 16. Bustos A. 12. Hass J. (G) 19. Mana N. 13. Mansilla M. 18. Montagna E. 17. Nicolas T. J. 15. Pruzzo L. 14. Yossen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Fernandez G. 🟨,
23', Noble M. 🟨,
32', Soria H. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Quintana A. ⚽, Noble M. (A),
45+3', Noble M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent form of Gimnasia Jujuy has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gimnasia Jujuy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gimnasia Jujuy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	San Telmo - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TWLLL
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.10.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Colegiales - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Deportivo Madryn - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.07.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
25.03.23	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:1
04.07.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	0:0

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