The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 69.7%
Draw 19.2%
Deportivo Pasto 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
23.1%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
22.7%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Santa Fe (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Diaz M. (G) 27. Herazo M. 16. Hernandez K. 3. Motta C. 4. Perez A. 26. Posada N. 25. Posada S. 10. Reyes C. 30. Rojas N. 33. Tovar L. 20. Viancha K.
33. Idarraga V. (G) 23. Angulo E. 4. Balcazar K. (C) 11. Contreras K. 21. Martinez D. 8. Moreno J. 27. Olarte A. 9. Preciado M. 25. Pulgarin L. 7. Ruiz J. 24. Valencia A.
Substitutes
6. Acosta V. 8. Cordoba N. 23. Diaz I. 17. Garavito D. 24. Marcano T. 1. Martinez W. (G) 7. Zamorano M.
22. Angulo D. 15. Cuesta E. 6. Herrera M. 12. Mendez P. (G) 17. Prado E. 20. Urango M. 18. Vazquez V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Pulgarin L. ⚽, Balcazar K. (A),
38', Moreno J. 🟨,
45+2', Motta C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Motta C. ↓, Acosta V. ↑,
46', Posada N. ↓, Zamorano M. ↑,
46', Rojas N. ↓, Garavito D. ↑,
60', Valencia A. ↓, Prado E. ↑,
63', Perez A. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Viancha K. ⚽,
68', Moreno J. ↓, Herrera M. ↑,
74', Herazo M. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Martinez D. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 10).
Santa Fe is Qualified for Liga Women (Promotion Group )
Santa Fe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Pasto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Santa Fe is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
Watch
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Diaz M. (G) 
Marcano T. 
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