Match Info

Liga Women - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira)


	Inter Palmira		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.71	3.25	4.8
	1.71	3.24	4.79
	1.73	3.32	4.81	Watch
	1.72	3.26	4.74
	1.71	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.61)	3.27 ↓ (3.63)	4.74 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Inter Palmira
53.1%

Draw
27.8%

Deportivo Pasto
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Palmira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-2%)

Inter Palmira - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (G) 15. Caicedo A. 18. Castillo M. 19. Hoyos A. 9. Marquinez M. 16. Montano L. 8. Ordonez A. 21. Pavi V. 10. Sanchez I. 20. Sanchez Y. 2. Vasquez S.	33. Idarraga V. (G) 22. Angulo D. 23. Angulo E. 13. Araujo T. 4. Balcazar K. (C) 10. Cano A. 11. Contreras K. 6. Herrera M. 21. Martinez D. 17. Prado E. 24. Valencia A.
Substitutes
17. Arias Y. 22. Cortes Rodriguez K. D. (G) 25. Meneses A. 11. Perez L. 3. Rubio J. 6. Ruiz D. 13. Soto M.	12. Mendez P. (G) 8. Moreno J. 25. Pulgarin L. 7. Ruiz J. 20. Urango M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Castillo M. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Sanchez I. ⚽, Pavi V. (A),
15', Vasquez S. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Araujo T. ⚽, Prado E. (A),
27', Cano A. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Sanchez Y. ⚽, Marquinez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Herrera M. 🟨,
63', Pavi V. 🟨,
70', Castillo M. ↓, Rubio J. ↑,
70', Hoyos A. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
76', Cano A. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
76', Angulo D. ↓, Pulgarin L. ↑,
77', Martinez D. 🟨,
85', Prado E. 🟨,
86', Prado E. ↓, Urango M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 10).

Inter Palmira is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Pasto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Inter Palmira is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Inter Palmira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Palmira Women
Colombian Liga Women
10.05.25	Inter Palmira - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Millonarios - Inter Palmira	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Inter Palmira - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Junior Barranquilla - Inter Palmira	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Inter Palmira - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWTT
- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
11.05.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Pasto - Orsomarso	2:3 ✺
14.04.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
10.04.25	La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
22.04.24	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Palmira	2:3
19.03.23	Inter Palmira - Deportivo Pasto	3:0

Inter Palmira - Deportivo Pasto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide