Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mosquera (Mosquera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cundinamarca		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.58	3.6	5.7	Watch
	1.58	3.6	6.51
	1.6	3.58	6.03	Watch
	1.53	3.25	6
	1.6	3.66	5.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.79)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	5.89 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
58.4%

Draw
26%

Barranquilla
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Cundinamarca's performance.

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Cundinamarca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cundinamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 27. Amaya J. 5. Cabezas E. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 8. Gomez C. 3. Moreno S. 7. Salcedo J. 2. Suaza J. 11. Valencia Y.	1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 16. Agamez M. 6. Caballero S. 25. Carabali Lopez M. B. 3. Cassiani O. 27. Correa F. 20. Cortez J. 17. Garcia Garces Y. D. 21. Orozco A. 10. Ortiz Javier 19. Penate C.
Substitutes
21. Alba J. 35. Barrios L. 30. Cuero Fabian 1. Giraldo J. (G) 6. Hoyos J. 24. Mendoza J. 29. Montano L. 18. Obregon L. 26. Vidal K.	12. Acosta Almeida J. L. (G) 8. Bolivar M. 15. Borja S. . Mosquera Moreno Y. 14. Mosquera W. 23. Oviedo P. 35. Riascos A. 7. Torres D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Garcia Garces Y. D. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Ortiz Javier ↓, Oviedo P. ↑,
46', Valencia Y. ↓, Vidal K. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Cuellar K. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Oviedo P. ⚽,
64', Caballero S. ↓, Mosquera Moreno Y. ↑,
67', Cuellar K. ↓, Obregon L. ↑,
67', Acosta O. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Obregon L. ⚽,
71', Gomez C. 🟨,
72', Gomez C. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
82', Torres D. ↓, Borja S. ↑,
82', Amaya J. ↓, Hoyos J. ↑,
82', Correa F. ↓, Bolivar M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Bolivar M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

In recent matches, Real Cundinamarca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barranquilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Real Cundinamarca is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Internacional de Palmira	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTLW
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
26.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Barranquilla - Internacional de Palmira	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
30.09.25	Barranquilla - Real Cundinamarca	1:1
17.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:0
30.09.24	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	1:2
26.04.24	Barranquilla - Real Cundinamarca	1:1
06.08.23	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	1:1

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