Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (Yumbo (COL))

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Independiente Valle del Cauca		Patriotas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.15	2.78
	2.58	3.2	2.89
	2.44	3.14	2.94
	2.4	3	2.63
	2.49	3.38	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)	3.17 ↑ (3.14)	2.79 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Valle del Cauca
37.6%

Draw
29.2%

Patriotas
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Valle del Cauca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Independiente Valle del Cauca - Patriotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Valle del Cauca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mendez J. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 8. Diaz T. 11. Farias L. 3. Ferrer D. 7. Hernandez S. 14. Ordonez J. 24. Palacios J. 15. Perdomo J. 4. Rodriguez J. 32. Rubiano J.	12. Espitia J. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 17. Angulo 7. Campana J. 2. Carabali 30. Gomez M. 14. Montes J. 3. Palomeque D. 22. Porras A. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A. 6. Torres F.
Substitutes
34. De Arco H. 5. Diaz J. 9. Garcia A. 25. Gonzalez S. 6. Mejia A. 17. Mena H. 12. Mena L. (G) 29. Moya B. 16. Villa D.	8. Copete C. 9. Fernandez B. 19. Figueroa F. 27. Mora A. 36. Salamanca C. 28. Salguero Zapata C. S. 29. Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Palacios J. ⚽,
18', Angulo J. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Ampudia J. (Own goal),
40', Espitia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Diaz T. ⚽,
49', Farias L. 🟨,
53', Salazar Sandoval K. A. 🟨,
58', Gomez M. 🟨,
59', Ordonez J. 🟨,
61', Campana J. ↓, Copete C. ↑,
61', Torres F. ↓, Figueroa F. ↑,
62', Gomez M. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
64', Palacios J. ↓, Mena H. ↑,
75', Farias L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
75', Ordonez J. ↓, Villa D. ↑,
75', Diaz T. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
78', Salazar Sandoval K. A. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Independiente Yumbo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
21.03.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Leones - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTW
- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
21.03.26	Patriotas - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:3 ✺
16.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Patriotas	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Patriotas - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Tigres - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTTW

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