Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (Yumbo (COL))

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Independiente Valle del Cauca		Tigres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.25	2.92	3.20
	2.31	2.94	3.44
	2.3	2.97	3.35	Watch
	2.20	2.80	3.35
	2.22	2.82	3.33
	2.25	2.95	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.93)	2.91 ↓ (3.21)	3.27 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Valle del Cauca
40.6%

Draw
31.4%

Tigres
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

29%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

30.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Valle del Cauca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Valle del Cauca's form might have worsened.

Tigres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Valle del Cauca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Independiente Valle del Cauca - Tigres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ind Valle del Cauca holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ind Valle del Cauca has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 22.89%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
03.10.26	Patriotas - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:1 ✺
28.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Orsomarso	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Barranquilla - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWT
- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
04.10.26	Tigres - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Tigres - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
22.09.26	Atlético Cali - Tigres	0:3 ✺
14.09.26	Tigres - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
10.09.26	Orsomarso - Tigres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
16.02.26	Tigres - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:3

Independiente Valle del Cauca - Tigres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide