Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Independiente Valle del Cauca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.30	4.20
	1.72	3.4	4.3	Watch
	1.76	3.38	4.87
	1.75	3.51	4.67
	1.71	3.3	4.6
	1.74	3.84	4.67
	1.71	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.45 ↑ (3.43)	4.5 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
53%

Draw
26.6%

Independiente Valle del Cauca
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

28%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Patriotas - Independiente Valle del Cauca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Macea A. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 7. Campana J. 19. Figueroa F. 4. Hurtado J. 38. Molano S. 34. Palacios Y. 22. Porras A. 21. Renteria L. 6. Torres F. 5. Zapata E.	22. Mendez J. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 8. Diaz T. 11. Farias L. 3. Ferrer D. 6. Moreyra H. 29. Palacios J. 25. Pena F. 17. Quinonez L. 4. Rodriguez J. 20. Rubiano J.
Substitutes
17. Angulo H. 20. Arango E. 12. Colombiano (G) 16. Molina T. 9. Montes J. . Riuz J. 3. Tique M.	5. Diaz J. 7. Mena H. 12. Mena L. (G) 24. Moya B. 34. Pajaro J. 15. Perdomo J. 21. Rodriguez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Mendez J. 🟨,
45+2', Alvarez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Farias L. ⚽,
58', Farias L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
61', Figueroa F. 🟨,
65', Rubiano J. 🟨,
67', Diaz T. ↓, Mena H. ↑,
67', Campana J. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
67', Porras A. ↓, Riuz J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

Patriotas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ind Valle del Cauca shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ind Valle del Cauca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Patriotas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Patriotas has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Valle del Cauca	12	7	3	2	16:7	9	24
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
26.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Patriotas	4:1 ✺
18.09.26	Patriotas - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Patriotas	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Patriotas - Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Patriotas - Tigres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW
- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
28.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Orsomarso	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Barranquilla - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Bogotá - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
26.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Patriotas	2:1

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