Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez (La Chorrera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Independiente de la Chorrera		UMECIT

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.33
	1.85	3	4.15
	1.95	3.12	4.17
	1.88	3.24	4.37	Watch
	1.85	2.9	3.9
	1.85	3.05	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	4.2 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente de la Chorrera
48.8%

Draw
29.6%

UMECIT
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Independiente de la Chorrera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez A. (G) 5. Angulo Garces K. J. 3. Davis O. 4. Hormechea C. 21. Modelo J. 13. Arboleda J. 8. Ramirez Y. 10. Aguila R. 7. Caicedo A. 28. Bonilla K. 16. Obando J.	30. Hinojosa C. (G) 3. Delgado J. 22. Palmezano A. 27. Garcia A. 62. Casazola M. 6. Fuentes J. 17. Edwards A. 21. Almanza O. 78. Vasquez J. 7. Peralta H. 48. Moran C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Edwards A. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
36', Obando J. 🟥,
36', 🟨,
45+3', Vasquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vasquez J. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Contreras D. ⚽,
52', Modelo J. ↓, Berrocal O. ↑,
52', Palmezano A. 🟨,
60', Moran C. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
66', Peralta H. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
66', Edwards A. ↓, Beccera O. ↑,
90', 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.

Independiente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UMECIT has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente de la Chorrera
Liga Panamena de Futbol
01.03.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Tauro	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Veraguas	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Union Cocle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWT
- UMECIT FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
28.02.26	UMECIT - Deportivo Universitario	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	San Francisco - UMECIT	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Tauro - UMECIT	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
04.10.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	0:1
10.05.25	UMECIT - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1
17.01.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	2:1
07.10.24	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	2:1
04.08.24	UMECIT - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:0
21.04.24	UMECIT - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:0
17.02.24	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	1:2

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