Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Indy Eleven		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.25
	2.82	3.45	2.25
	3.13	3.63	2.21
	2.71	3.62	2.36	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.16
	3.13	3.55	2.14	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.08)	3.51 ↓ (3.63)	2.23 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
32%

Draw
26.4%

Charleston Battery
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

25%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery Predictions

Users Predictions: Charleston Battery will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 39. Barry H. 14. Quinn A. (C) 27. Rendon B. 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 8. Blake J. 22. Omar M. 18. Okello N.	56. Zamudio L. (G) 5. Suber S. 16. Smith G. 22. Akpunonu J. 3. Messer N. 8. Ycaza E. (C) 4. Allan C. 99. Foster M. 90. Berry M. 29. Kelly J. 30. Swan C.
Substitutes
23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 19. Kizza E. 70. Lowden T. 90. Mesanvi L. 29. Mitrano A. 9. Sharp C. 10. Williams K.	1. Berner J. (G) 7. Blackstock L. 13. Cabrera A. 12. Hughes A. 10. Kissiedou L. 42. Martinez D. 88. Pakhomov K.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Pirmann B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Kelly J. 🟨,
35', Quinn A. 🟨,
36', Blake J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Allan C. ↓, Pakhomov K. ↑,
65', Omar M. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
68', Smith G. 🟥,
70', Swan C. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
78', Berry M. ↓, Hughes A. ↑,
78', Foster M. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
78', Kelly J. ↓, Kissiedou L. ↑,
81', Okello N. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, O'Brien J. ⚽, Rasheed M. (A),
90+2', Kissiedou L. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Rendon B. ⚽, Blake J. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 0.

Indy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Charleston Battery is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Charleston Battery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Indy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Cup
20.06.26	Lexington - Indy Eleven	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Indy Eleven - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWW
- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
24.06.26	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Charleston Battery	2:5 ✺
13.06.26	Charleston Battery - Tulsa	5:1 ✺
10.06.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Charleston Battery - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.09.25	Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven	2:1
19.04.25	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	1:3
02.08.24	Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven	5:0
13.04.24	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:4
22.10.23	Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven	5:0
12.07.23	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	1:1
02.06.23	Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven	0:4

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