Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lexington		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.40	3.30
	1.89	3.50	3.35
	1.85	3.57	3.66
	2.09	3.59	3.03	Watch
	1.91	3.30	3.30
	2.05	3.58	3	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
46.7%

Draw
26%

Indy Eleven
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lexington - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 4. Ordonez A. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 10. Adedokun M. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 27. Rodrigues B. P.	23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 37. Craig P. (C) 39. Barry H. 27. Rendon B. 5. O'Brien J. 22. Omar M. 10. Williams K. 18. Okello N. 20. Sing D.
Substitutes
40. Addams G. (G) 30. Blessing L. 14. Caborn A. 22. Hafferty J. 18. Henry-Scott M. 11. Midence A. 21. Muir M. 19. Scott T.	8. Blake J. 1. Dick E. (G) 19. Kizza E. 90. Mesanvi L. 29. Mitrano A. 9. Sharp C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Neidlinger L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rendon B. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
61', Williams K. ↓, Blake J. ↑,
61', Sing D. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
69', Ferri B. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
70', Nick Firmino 🟨,
75', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
78', Zengue X. 🟨,
81', Adedokun M. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
81', Zengue X. ↓, Hafferty J. ↑,
82', Barry H. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
88', Rasheed M. 🟨,
Penalties (6 - 7)
1, Blake J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Molloy A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, O'Brien J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Midence A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Omar M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ordonez A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mitrano A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Epps M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sharp C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hafferty J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Craig P. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Nick Firmino (Penalty Awarded),
7, Neidlinger L. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Greene J. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Rasheed M. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Blessing L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Lexington will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Championship
13.06.26	Lexington - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Detroit City - Lexington	1:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	1:4 ✺
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
13.06.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Indy Eleven - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Fort Wayne - Indy Eleven	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1
22.03.25	Lexington - Indy Eleven	1:1

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