Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Indy Eleven		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.88
	2.29	3.55	3
	2.21	3.51	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.2	3.28	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.35)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	2.93 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
41.2%

Draw
27.3%

Lexington
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Indy Eleven - Lexington Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 6. Lindley C. 8. Blake J. 27. Rendon B. 5. O'Brien J. 90. Mesanvi L. 19. Kizza E.	17. Semmle O. (G) 23. Brown J. 4. Ordonez A. 5. Burks K. 12. Zengue X. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 30. Blessing L. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.
Substitutes
39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 29. Mitrano A. 18. Okello N. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D. 10. Williams K.	40. Addams G. (G) 22. Hafferty J. 18. Henry-Scott M. 77. Lewis J. 11. Midence A. 21. Muir M. 19. Scott T. 20. Yosef M.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Hemmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Brown J. 🟥,
4', Rendon B. 🟨,
7', Blessing L. ↓, Hafferty J. ↑,
13', 1 - 0, Rendon B. ⚽, Kizza E. (A),
32', Zengue X. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Molloy A. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
55', Kizza E. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
56', Molloy A. 🟨,
57', Zengue X. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
66', Mesanvi L. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, O'Brien J. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
76', 3 - 1, Sing D. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
77', Epps M. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
77', Ferri B. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
79', Neidlinger L. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
79', Barry H. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
80', Goodrum P. 🟨,
90', Quinn A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Indy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Indy Eleven - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Cup
16.05.26	Fort Wayne - Indy Eleven	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Indy Eleven - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLT
- Lexington SC
USL Championship
08.05.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Lexington - Forward Madison	4:2 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Orange County SC - Lexington	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lexington - Rhode Island	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.03.25	Lexington - Indy Eleven	1:1

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