Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Indy Eleven		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.42
	2.68	3.64	2.53
	2.58	3.72	2.43	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.54	3.34	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)	3.48 ↑ (3.26)	2.44 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
35.7%

Draw
26.5%

Rhode Island
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Indy Eleven - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 27. Rendon B. 8. Blake J. 18. Okello N. 19. Kizza E.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 5. Stoneman G. 3. Sanchez A. 12. Holstad C. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 17. Kwizera J. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 8. Leo Afonso 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 70. Lowden T. 29. Mitrano A. 20. Sing D. 10. Williams K.	7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 14. Dorsey L. 11. Fuson N. 21. Herivaux Z. 15. Nodarse F. 10. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Shapiro-Thompson A. 🟨,
15', Okello N. 🟨,
36', Rendon B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Rendon B. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
56', Holstad C. 🟨,
58', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,
58', Leo Afonso ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
67', Kizza E. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
67', Neidlinger L. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
73', Sanchez A. ↓, Nodarse F. ↑,
73', Scardina N. ↓, Dorsey L. ↑,
83', Bacharach Capdevila H. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
90+3', Blake J. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
90+4', Rendon B. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Fort Wayne - Indy Eleven	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Indy Eleven - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
23.05.26	Rhode Island - Brooklyn	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Rhode Island - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.09.25	Rhode Island - Indy Eleven	1:0
12.07.25	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0
03.11.24	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	2:3
07.08.24	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0
05.07.24	Rhode Island - Indy Eleven	3:3

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