Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis)

Referee: Tattersall E. (Usa)


	Indy Eleven		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.85
	2.18	3.3	3
	2.32	3.4	2.95
	2.23	3.34	2.95	Watch
	2.18	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
41.4%

Draw
27.5%

Memphis 901
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Indy Eleven - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trilk T. (G) 8. Blake J. 15. Arturo Diz 5. Chapman-Page C. 23. Boudadi Y. 6. Lindley C. 14. Quinn A. 42. Martinez D. 20. Asante S. 7. Velasquez S. 29. Stefano Pinho	1. Romig A. (G) 19. Buckmaster R. 16. Smith G. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. 18. Kelly J. 6. Molloy A. 9. Nascimento L. 4. Hyndman E. 77. Borczak D. 10. Da Costa R.
Substitutes
46. Crawford C. (G) 22. Dambrot R. 13. Guenzatti S. 4. Jerome M. 44. King M. 21. Molina R. 10. Robledo H.	11. Kissiedou L. 7. Lapa B. 23. Paul L. 27. Peters J. 20. Pickering N. 26. Seeger A. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C.
Coaches
Lowry M.	Glass S.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Indy won 0.

Recent matches Indy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Memphis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Indy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Memphis have a series of guest games.

Indy will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Indy won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Indy won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
29.07.23	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:3 ✺
22.07.23	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
12.07.23	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTTL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
02.08.23	Loudoun United - Memphis 901	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Memphis 901	4:2 ✺
22.07.23	Memphis 901 - Orange County SC	3:4 ✺
15.07.23	Sacramento Republic - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
12.07.23	Oakland Roots - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.07.22	Indy Eleven - Memphis 901	1:1
14.05.22	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	2:1
30.10.21	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	3:0
22.09.21	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	1:0
17.07.21	Indy Eleven - Memphis 901	1:1
05.06.21	Indy Eleven - Memphis 901	1:2
07.03.20	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	2:4

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