Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Matto J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Indy Eleven		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.45	2.62
	2.47	3.67	2.67
	2.30	3.66	2.77	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.46)	3.55 ↑ (3.45)	2.68 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
39.1%

Draw
26.3%

Tulsa
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Indy Eleven - Tulsa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tulsa (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pruter L. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 12. Schaefer B. 41. Musa J. 71. Zalinsky J. 6. Lindley C. 5. Murphy J. 8. Blake J. 14. Quinn A. (C) 9. Williams R. 19. Kizza E.	39. Johnson C. (G) 2. Damm O. 4. Pierre D. 15. Batista L. 47. St.Clair H. 26. Colli G. 6. Diallo B. 3. Sousa T. 8. Webber J. 19. Amann T. 9. Calheira T.
Substitutes
22. Amoh E. 18. Collier E. 44. Hunsucker R. (G) 2. O'Brien J. 27. Rendon B. 32. Soumaoro B. 98. Sulte H. (G) 33. White H.	7. Booth A. 21. Dalou A. 1. Deric T. (G) 10. Elmedkhar K. 37. Goldthorp E. 22. Lukic S. 20. Seagrist P.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Schaefer B. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
33', St.Clair H. 🟨,
45+1', Murphy J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
60', Kizza E. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
60', Williams R. ↓, Rendon B. ↑,
64', Amann T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
64', Damm O. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
64', Colli G. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Blake J. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
80', 2 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
81', Zalinsky J. ↓, White H. ↑,
81', Murphy J. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
81', Webber J. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
88', Pruter L. 🟨,
89', Dalou A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
21.09.25	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Rhode Island - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
20.09.25	Oakland Roots - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	New Mexico United - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Tulsa - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tulsa	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tulsa - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
26.07.25	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	2:1
USL Championship
26.07.24	Tulsa - Indy Eleven	0:0
07.10.23	Tulsa - Indy Eleven	1:2
08.07.23	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	0:1
01.10.22	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	2:4
20.08.22	Tulsa - Indy Eleven	1:0
23.10.21	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	1:1

Upcoming Matches