The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louisville City 55.1%
Draw 23.1%
Indy Eleven 21.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.8%
22.4%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
21.6%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
The chances for Indy Eleven have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Louisville City - Indy Eleven Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Schewe R. (G) 2. McFadden A. 31. Lambert K. 32. Adams K. (C) 15. Perez E. 8. Davila T. 19. Niang B. 13. Dia A. 21. Huerman Q. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.
1. Dick E. (G) 21. Rasheed M. 4. Herbert A. 36. Kibunguchy N. 29. Mitrano A. 13. Hafferty J. 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 14. Quinn A. (C) 27. Rendon B. 19. Kizza E.
Substitutes
47. Akale M. 99. Conley C. 27. Davila E. 5. Dayes B. 23. Gleadle S. 3. Morris J. 14. Showunmi T. 4. Totsch S. 30. Troutman R. (G)
39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 37. Craig P. 15. Henry-Scott M. 90. Mesanvi L. 20. Sing D.
Coaches
Bird S.
McAuley S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Lambert K. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
43', 3 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kizza E. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
51', 4 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
53', Hafferty J. 🟨,
55', Huerman Q. 🟨,
56', Mitrano A. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
61', Lambert K. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
61', Huerman Q. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
67', Lindley C. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Rasheed M. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
74', Totsch S. 🟨,
82', Quinn A. ↓, Craig P. ↑,
82', Rendon B. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
82', Niang B. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
85', Perez E. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
85', Donovan C. ↓, Conley C. ↑,
Preview
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 3.
Louisville City has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Indy has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Louisville City for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Louisville City has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:22 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Louisville City against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.2 per game).
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Schewe R. (G) 
Lambert K. 
Adams K. (C) 
Niang B. 
Huerman Q. 
Herbert A. 
Kibunguchy N. 
O'Brien J. 
Rendon B. 
Kizza E. 
Gleadle S. 
Charles-Cook R. (G) 
Mesanvi L. 
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