Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Usa	19:00	ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Indy Eleven		Tampa Bay Rowdies

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.40	1.90
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.57	3.83	1.99
	3.46	3.77	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.91
	3.46	3.48	1.89	Watch
	3.35	3.45	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.24)	3.58 ↓ (3.62)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
26.8%

Draw
25.6%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.6%

25.6%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

24.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 13. Hafferty J. 4. Herbert A. 36. Kibunguchy N. 21. Rasheed M. 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 22. Omar M. 14. Quinn A. (C) 27. Rendon B. 19. Kizza E.	1. Waite J. (G) 26. Acoff D. 3. Schaefer B. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 20. Ostrem C. 23. Schneider M. 30. Cruz S. 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L. 10. Cicerone R. 9. Myers M.
Substitutes
39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 37. Craig P. 15. Henry-Scott M. 90. Mesanvi L. 29. Mitrano A. 20. Sing D.	55. Archer L. 14. Henderlong K. 16. Micaletto M. 24. Pack A. (G) 36. Rodriguez A. 11. Vivi Quesada G. 27. Wyke L.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Casciato D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kizza E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Rendon B. 🟨,
62', Schaefer B. ↓, Wyke L. ↑,
67', Ostrem C. 🟨,
72', Perez L. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Myers M. ⚽, Cicerone R. (A),
75', Myers M. 🟨,
76', Lindley C. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
81', Kizza E. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
81', Omar M. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
83', Pedro Becker ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
83', Acoff D. ↓, Archer L. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Cruz S. ⚽, Micaletto M. (A),
90+2', 1 - 3, Micaletto M. ⚽, Henderlong K. (A),

Preview

Tampa Bay is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 0.

Indy is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tampa Bay has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tampa Bay holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Indy has recorded 3 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:30 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Indy against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
03.10.26	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Rhode Island - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Indy Eleven - Miami	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Indy Eleven - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Indy Eleven - Brooklyn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Brooklyn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:0
02.08.25	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:3
25.06.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	3:1
26.10.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	3:0
20.07.24	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2
22.07.23	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0
11.03.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:1

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