Match Info

Date: 10 December 2021, Friday


	Inhulets		Desna Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.45
	2.7	3.15	2.43
	2.7	2.95	2.49
	2.69	3.34	2.68
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.69	3.22	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (4.26)	3.15 ↓ (3.64)	2.52 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
34.1%

Draw
29.3%

Desna Chernihiv
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.2%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

20.6%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inhulets's performance.

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desna Chernihiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inhulets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+29%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desna Chernihiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Inhulets - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Inhulets is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Desna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
05.12.21	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Inhulets - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Mynai - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Inhulets - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT
- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
05.12.21	Desna Chernihiv - Mariupol	3:3 ✺
27.11.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Desna Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Lviv - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.21	Desna Chernihiv - Inhulets	2:0
26.02.21	Desna Chernihiv - Inhulets	3:0
19.09.20	Inhulets - Desna Chernihiv	1:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.05.18	Inhulets - Desna Chernihiv	1:3
11.10.17	Desna Chernihiv - Inhulets	0:0
13.05.17	Inhulets - Desna Chernihiv	1:2
08.10.16	Desna Chernihiv - Inhulets	1:0

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